
US Dollar Index jumped 1% to 105.53 on March 7 after Powell's Senate testimony suggested the Fed might raise rates more than expected. WTI fell as much as 3.3% to $77.79 a barrel, Brent slumped 3.2% to $83.40, gold and silver dropped, and copper fell 2.8%.
A stronger dollar and higher expected rates pressure dollar-priced commodities and crude oil, which lowers energy and freight costs for feed buyers. The move is a reaction to Fed commentary rather than a change in physical supply.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.