
Gold and silver fell after Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said rates could rise before inflation reaches 2%, lifting the dollar to two-month highs. Silver fell 4% to a two-month low and gold dropped below $1,900.
A hawkish Fed signal strengthens the dollar, which pressures dollar-denominated commodities and can weigh on grain and oilseed export competitiveness. Oil was also pressured by COVID-19 concerns.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.