
Longer-dated Treasury yields and the dollar rose in Asia after the Fed shifted its policy framework toward supporting growth. The 10-year yield hit 0.787%, its highest since June, and oil fell as worries eased about a hurricane hitting US oil industry.
A firmer dollar and higher yields are a modest headwind for dollar-priced commodities. The oil dip reflects reduced hurricane risk, which has little effect on feed prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.