
AUD/USD fell 0.41% to about 0.6960 after fully erasing its rebound from softer-than-expected US PCE inflation, with headline PCE at 3.4% and core at 3%. Stronger US employment and growth data kept the dollar bid, and markets pushed expectations for the next Fed hike toward December.
A firmer dollar and fewer Fed hike bets weigh on dollar-priced commodities and can pressure US export competitiveness; the effect on feed grains is indirect and modest.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.