Euro steadies as the US Dollar eases, but hawkish Fed bets limit upside

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jun 18, 2026US dollar rally builds as hawkish Fed meeting stokes rate-hike bets | The Straits Times+1.4%
• Jun 14, 2024EUR/USD plummets to 1.0670 as Fed's hawkish policy keeps US Dollar firm+0.1%
• Sep 23, 2026Gold, silver slammed as hawkish Fed repricing reignites dollar upside+1.2%
• Nov 3, 2022Gold dips as hawkish U.S. Fed lifts dollar, yields-1.0%
• Jan 29, 2026GBP/USD slides below 1.3780 as Fed hold lifts the Dollar+0.6%

After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jun 18, 2026US dollar rally builds as hawkish Fed meeting stokes rate-hike bets | The Straits Times-1.8%
• Jun 14, 2024EUR/USD plummets to 1.0670 as Fed's hawkish policy keeps US Dollar firm-0.6%
• Jun 29, 2022Euro dives, dollar rises after Fed's Powell reaffirms hawkish stance-3.4%
• Jul 29, 2019The Euro-Dollar Rate Could Bounce if Fed Cuts Rates but It Won't Last, Analysts Say-0.1%
• Mar 4, 2019US dollar extends rising streak even as euro slips - The Business Times-1.2%

After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.

• Sep 23, 2020Gold and Silver Hit by Hawkish Fed Boost to Dollar - Markets Insider-1.5%
• Sep 18, 2026Ringgit opens higher against US dollar as oil prices ease | The Star-0.3%
• Sep 18, 2019Rand steadies as investors wait on US fed rates, stocks down - Moneyweb-2.2%
• Nov 1, 2023Oil falls to settle at 3-week low as Fed policy stance lifts dollar-5.3%
• Jun 29, 2023The Commodities Feed: Hawkish Fed comments weigh on the complex | articles | ING THINK+3.9%