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Nordea and J.P. Morgan expect a short-lived euro bounce if the Fed cuts rates on Wednesday, but both see the currency falling again.
They cite ECB QE and rate cuts and forecast a dip below 1.10 against the dollar.
A sustained decline in the euro would make US feed commodities cheaper in euro terms, supporting European import demand. The forecasts are views rather than confirmed policy moves.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.