Loading…
Soybean futures fell last week on reports of a coronavirus outbreak rattling the Chinese economy and prospects of a large Brazilian crop. Chinese government containment efforts appear to have fallen short, raising questions about China's growth.
Expected weaker Chinese demand and heavier South American supply point to lower soybean prices near term, and doubts about China meeting phase one purchase commitments add downside risk.
michiganfarmnews.comTodd Hubbs, Dept. of Ag Econ., Univ. of IllinoisJan 28, 2020After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
