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The yuan slipped to an 18-month low of 6.7110 per dollar as the dollar hit a two-decade high amid Ukraine war concerns, rising global rates and Shanghai lockdowns. China's April exports rose 3.9%, slightly better than expected, while imports were flat.
Yuan weakness and lockdown-driven slowdown in China reduce import demand for feed ingredients, while a firmer dollar pressures dollar-priced grain and meal.
asiafinancial.comJim Pollard, Sean O'MearaMay 9, 2022After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report of the yuan hitting an 18-month low of 6.7110 as the dollar reached a two-decade high, amid rising global rates and Shanghai lockdowns, directly describes the 0.97% move.
Yuan hit an 18-month low of 6.7110 on May 9 as the dollar reached a two-decade high, directly within the 5-day window and reflecting USD strength, global rate rises and Shanghai lockdowns.
Yuan hitting an 18-month low on May 9 amid a two-decade-high dollar, global rate rises and Shanghai lockdowns marks the immediate depreciation momentum leading into the May 12 move.
