
The yuan closed near a 19-month low against a firmer US dollar on May 9, 2022, breaking the 6.7 per dollar level. April export growth slowed to single digits and imports were flat as lockdowns halted factory output and weakened domestic demand.
Weak trade data signals reduced Chinese industrial and feed demand, which can pressure import-linked grain and meal prices. The weaker yuan also makes dollar-priced imports more expensive for Chinese buyers.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day close breaking 6.7 per dollar, with weak trade data and lockdown-hit demand adding to the pressure on the yuan.