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The US dollar rose to 20-year highs, pressuring grain futures lower on July 12, 2022. Corn fell 7-10 cents, soybeans 24-27 cents, soymeal $3.10 per ton, soyoil $1.92 per pound, and wheat 9-15 cents in Chicago.
Traders also awaited the July WASDE report amid heat and dryness across the Midwest.
A stronger dollar makes US grain more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing export demand and weighing on futures. Midwest heat stress is a supportive offset that could limit downside if yields are threatened.
theseam.comJul 12, 2022After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 40 past bearish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -4.5% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
A 20-year-high dollar pressured grains and soymeal lower on July 12, making US exports less competitive.
The dollar at 20-year highs made US grain less competitive and pushed corn lower on July 12.
A 20-year-high dollar and fund selling pressured grains on July 12, which set up the continued slide.
