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The dollar traded near a 20-year high against a basket of currencies ahead of an expected Fed rate hike. Markets expected a 50 basis point increase and a balance sheet reduction plan at the Wednesday meeting, while the yen held near 20-year lows.
A stronger dollar and tighter US policy lower dollar-denominated commodity prices and raise import costs for buyers abroad, generally bearish for grain and meal.
cnbc.comReutersMay 3, 2022After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
