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On December 15, 2016 the dollar hit a 14-year high and bond yields rose broadly after the Federal Reserve signaled faster rate increases next year. The move extended gains from the previous day's Fed meeting.
Rising US rates and a firmer dollar raise the cost of exports and can weigh on feed commodity prices.
reuters.comDec 15, 2016reuters.comCaroline ValetkevitchDec 15, 2016After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The dollar hit a 14-year high on Dec 15 as bond yields rose on the Fed's faster-hike outlook.
Dollar strength and higher yields following the hawkish Fed outlook explain the euro decline through repricing of rate differentials.
