
The Federal Reserve raised its target federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 0.50-0.75 percent and signaled three hikes in 2017 instead of two. Two-year Treasury yields hit their highest since 2009, the dollar rose to a 10-month high against the yen, and US stocks posted their biggest percentage decline since the November election.
A stronger dollar and higher yields make dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for foreign buyers and raise financing costs for feed importers and livestock producers, which tends to weigh on grain and meal prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.