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The US dollar index rose nearly 0.7% on Thursday after Fed speakers, including Austan Goolsbee and Chair Powell, took a cautious tone on rate cuts. Convera also expects Banxico to cut Mexico's rate to 7.5%.
The article notes labour market and inflation concerns.
A stronger dollar makes US commodities such as corn and soybeans less competitive abroad and can pressure dollar-denominated prices. The Banxico cut may modestly affect peso-linked Mexican feed demand.
convera.comKevin FordSep 25, 2025After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
