
The U.S. dollar was on track for its biggest weekly gain as traders reassessed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The move reflects bets that policies under the incoming Trump administration, including tariffs and tax cuts, could push up inflation.
A firmer dollar makes U.S. commodity exports pricier for foreign buyers and can pressure grain and oilseed prices, while a stronger dollar also weighs on currency-linked feed demand in importing countries.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.