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The dollar index rose to a 6.5-month high and bitcoin hit a record high as traders priced in Trump's tariff promises. The move reflects expectations that tariffs and tax cuts will keep US rates high.
A stronger dollar makes US grain and meal exports more expensive for foreign buyers and tends to weigh on commodity prices priced in dollars.
reuters.comChibuike OguhNov 12, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report of the dollar index at a 6.5-month high as traders priced in Trump tariffs and tax cuts that would keep US rates high, directly describing the 11/12 move.
Dollar index hit a 6.5-month high on Nov 12 as tariff and tax-cut expectations supported higher US rates.
