
US stocks and Bitcoin hit record highs and the dollar posted its biggest gain in eight years after Trump was re-elected. The dollar rose about 1.65% against a basket including the pound, euro and yen, while the euro fell 1.89%.
Markets are pricing in tariffs and tax cuts that could lift inflation and delay rate cuts, which keeps the dollar firm and makes US commodities more expensive for overseas buyers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.