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The euro continued to decline on expectations of potential Trump tariffs. Political uncertainty in Germany, following the collapse of Chancellor Olaf Scholz's governing coalition, also weighed on the currency and the dollar hit a one-year high.
A firmer dollar on tariff and political risk supports a stronger currency for US exporters' competitors to price against, and can pressure US commodity prices quoted in dollars.
reuters.comChibuike OguhNov 13, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The dollar reached a one-year high while the euro kept falling on tariff expectations and German coalition collapse, adding euro-specific political risk.
Dollar hit a one-year high on Nov 13 on Trump trades and euro weakness from German political uncertainty.
