
The US dollar index hit a six-week high of about 90.96 on weakness in the euro, Swiss franc and yen, as the US was seen as having an edge in economic recovery and vaccinations. Oil and silver rose on falling US crude inventories and a major Northeast snowstorm.
A firmer dollar typically pressures dollar-denominated commodity prices, while the oil rally adds energy-cost support that can feed into biofuel and freight economics.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.