
The Canadian dollar strengthened against the US dollar and other G10 currencies on Wednesday as oil prices rose and investors bet the Bank of Canada would respond more to inflation than the Fed. US consumer prices rose by the most in nearly 12 years in April.
The loonie traded near a six-year high.
A firmer loonie makes USD-priced imports cheaper for Canadian buyers, and rising oil prices lift energy costs. The inflation-driven repricing of rate expectations also points to currency volatility.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.