The Canadian dollar hit its highest level in nearly a week after US consumer prices rose at a slower-than-expected pace in July. Oil recovered its earlier decline as traders expected less aggressive Fed tightening, while Druzhba pipeline flows were expected to resume.
Lower US inflation eases pressure on the Fed and supports a weaker dollar, a modest tailwind for commodity prices. Resumed Druzhba flows would ease crude supply concerns for Europe.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.