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The dollar advanced after the White House reiterated tariff threats against trading partners. US PCE inflation data was released, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell said there would be no rush to cut rates again while still implying room for easing.
A firmer dollar makes US-priced grains, soybeans and meal less competitive for importers, which can weigh on export demand and futures. Tariff threats add uncertainty to feed trade flows.
reuters.comChibuike OguhJan 31, 2025After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
