Loading…
The offshore yuan has lost more than 3% since Donald Trump's November election victory, and the onshore yuan has slipped to near a 16-month low. Market watchers expect further depreciation against a stronger dollar, with the pace depending on Beijing's willingness to limit volatility.
A weaker yuan makes Chinese exports cheaper and may reduce Chinese demand for dollar-priced feed inputs, while also signaling fears of a trade war that could dampen Chinese import demand for US soybeans and corn.
cnbc.comAnniek BaoJan 20, 2025After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
