
The yuan hit its lowest level in months against the dollar after Donald Trump's re-election stoked fears of trade disputes. The offshore yuan fell below 7.3 per dollar and the PBOC set its fixing at a 15-month low.
Yuan weakness on tariff fears raises import costs for Chinese feed buyers and signals risk to US soybean and feed demand from China.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.