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The yuan slid to a seven-year low after the People's Bank of China lowered its reference rate for a seventh consecutive trading day. The decline came as the dollar extended its post-election rally to a one-year high.
A persistently weaker yuan raises the dollar cost of Chinese imports and signals policy tolerance for depreciation, which can weigh on demand for U.S. feed commodities and support a stronger dollar.
scmp.comCelia ChenNov 14, 2016After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report of the yuan sliding to a seven-year low after the PBOC lowered its reference rate for a seventh straight day, directly describing the 14 Nov move via policy-driven currency weakness and dollar strength.
On Nov 14 the yuan hit a seven-year low as the PBOC lowered its reference rate for a seventh straight day and the dollar extended its rally, directly contributing to the end-of-window move.
The post-election dollar rally extended to a one-year high on 11/14 as the yuan fell, showing broad dollar strength.
