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Dollar bulls are positioning for Trump's policies, including tariffs and tax cuts, after his election win. Analysts note that in 2016 the dollar rose about 6% in the two months after his victory before giving up those gains, and later rallied about 13% during his tariff push.
A stronger dollar from expected tariffs would cut US export competitiveness and make feed ingredients cheaper for foreign buyers less competitive, a bearish signal for US commodity export prices.
reuters.comSaqib Iqbal AhmedNov 7, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
