
Most Latin American currencies fell against the dollar on April 14 as the dollar recovered after U.S. retail sales fell in March and a Fed official called for further rate hikes. Peru's sol outperformed regional peers after the central bank held rates steady for a third straight time.
A firmer dollar and weaker Latam currencies can make South American grain and oilseed exports cheaper in dollar terms, which tends to weigh on soybean meal and corn export prices, while a stronger sol supports Peruvian fishmeal buying power.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.