Emerging market currencies were little changed on Thursday as a strong dollar offset gains, after hot US inflation data and firmer producer prices raised expectations of further Fed tightening. The Colombian peso fell 0.6%, adding to the prior session's losses amid investor concerns over President Petro's reforms.
Stronger US rate expectations keep pressure on EM currencies, raising import costs for dollar-priced feed in those markets. The impact on commodity prices is small.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.