Loading…
The US dollar is rising sharply alongside a record US trade deficit, with record capital inflows more than offsetting the deficit. Interest rates in the US have risen well above those in Europe and Japan, drawing global fixed-income investors, and the war in Ukraine and a Covid wave in China have reinforced the dollar's safe-haven appeal.
Capital inflows keeping the dollar strong put downward pressure on dollar-priced commodities and make US feed exports less competitive. Buyers in weaker-currency markets face higher import costs for feed ingredients.
yardeni.comEd YardeniApr 29, 2022After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
