
The Chinese yuan has weakened sharply against the dollar after appreciating since June 2020. Analysts had expected the gains to fade once the Federal Reserve began raising rates, but China's worst Covid-19 outbreak since early 2020 and widespread lockdowns have worsened its economic slowdown.
A weaker yuan raises the cost of imported feed ingredients for Chinese buyers while the slowdown cuts demand for meat and feed, pressuring import prices for grains and meals.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.