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The dollar index hit a two-month high after Fed officials projected earlier interest rate hikes and an earlier end to emergency bond buying. The dollar had posted its largest daily gain since March 2020 the previous day.
A firmer dollar on earlier Fed tightening pressures dollar-priced agricultural commodities and raises costs for importers of feed ingredients.
cnbc.comReutersJun 17, 2021After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dollar index hit a two-month high on June 17 after the Fed projected earlier hikes and tapering, directly explaining the 1.31% broad dollar move.
The dollar had its largest daily gain since March 2020 on June 16 after the hawkish Fed, which weighs on dollar-priced soybean export competitiveness and triggers fund selling.
