
The dollar surged to a seven-month high against a major currency basket as investors raised bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike in December. Ten-year US Treasury yields rose to a more than four-month high after solid US economic data.
The dollar also climbed against the yen and the pound fell sharply.
A stronger dollar makes US-priced grains, meal and oilseeds more expensive for foreign buyers, which can pressure export demand and prices. Higher US rates also raise financing costs for holding commodity inventories.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.