
The dollar climbed to its highest level against the euro since 2003 on December 15, 2016, after the Fed signalled three rate rises in 2017. US 10-year yields reached a two-year high while gold fell to a 10-month low and European bonds declined.
A broad dollar rally and higher US yields tend to pressure dollar-priced commodities, including gold and agricultural products, while raising import costs abroad.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The dollar hit its strongest level against the euro since 2003 on Dec 15 as US yields rose after the Fed, matching the one-day move.
Dollar hit its strongest level versus the euro since 2003 as the Fed signalled three hikes and US yields jumped, consistent with the move.