
The dollar rose to a 13-month high for a third straight day as markets priced in Fed rate hikes. A tech stock sell-off and uncertainty over the US-Iran peace deal also supported the greenback, while oil fell to its lowest since the war began.
Hike expectations and safe-haven demand strengthen the dollar, while lower oil prices reduce biofuel-linked support for vegetable oils and corn.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
A third straight day at a 13-month high on rate-hike views, plus safe-haven flows from a tech sell-off and peace-deal uncertainty, lifted the dollar.