
The dollar rose from a one-month low on prospects of tighter U.S. monetary policy ahead of central bank meetings and data releases. The euro lost 0.3% to $1.1610 ahead of the ECB meeting on Thursday.
A firmer dollar on higher US rate expectations weighs on dollar-priced commodities and can lower US export competitiveness.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.