
The dollar rose to 16-month highs after hot US inflation data, and the euro fell to $1.1454, its lowest since July 2020. Traders saw the ECB lagging on policy tightening.
Deutsche Bank's George Saravelos said the euro could fall as far as $1.12.
A stronger dollar lowers the dollar value of commodities priced in other currencies and can soften US export prices for grains and meal, while raising costs for euro-zone feed importers.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Hot US CPI on Nov 11 lifted the dollar to 16-month highs and pushed EUR/USD to its lowest since July 2020, driving the start of the 5-day decline.