Euro eases after ECB meeting, while dollar firms following inflation data

After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Dec 12, 2024Dollar higher on fresh inflation data, euro lower after ECB rate cut-0.4%
• Sep 30, 2022Dollar gains on euro after inflation data, sterling falls+0.3%
• Nov 11, 2021Dollar rockets to 16-month highs after hot U.S. inflation; euro sinks | Reuters-1.4%
• Oct 1, 2026Dollar rises, euro slips after ECB rate increase-1.4%
• Aug 31, 2023After mixed euro zone inflation data, where do ECB interest rate odds stand now?-2.0%

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Dec 12, 2024Dollar higher on fresh inflation data, euro lower after ECB rate cut+0.6%
• Nov 11, 2021Dollar rockets to 16-month highs after hot U.S. inflation; euro sinks | Reuters+0.8%
• Mar 2, 2023Dollar firms after U.S. labor data suggests more rate hikes | Reuters+0.7%
• Oct 1, 2026Dollar rises, euro slips after ECB rate increase+0.2%
• Aug 31, 2023After mixed euro zone inflation data, where do ECB interest rate odds stand now?+1.8%