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The dollar index surged to a six-month high on September 14 after U.S. retail sales rose 0.6% in August, above the 0.2% forecast, and producer prices beat estimates. The European Central Bank raised its key rate to a record 4% but signaled that it was likely done tightening, and the euro fell to about $1.0635.
A stronger dollar and rising U.S. rate expectations tend to pressure dollar-priced grain and oilseed contracts and make U.S. exports less competitive, which weighs on feed commodity prices.
reuters.comChuck MikolajczakSep 14, 2023After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
