The dollar firmed against major currencies after the Federal Reserve pledged to keep rates near zero until at least 2023 and signaled tolerance for higher inflation. Treasury yields rose following the announcement, and weaker-than-expected US retail sales data had initially pushed the dollar lower.
Higher US yields and a firmer dollar tighten financial conditions for commodities, while the Fed's inflation tolerance supports longer-term real asset demand.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.