
The dollar rose to a 17-month high against the euro as a US and European bond selloff pushed Treasury yields to new peaks amid higher oil prices. The euro fell below $1.123 for the first time since May 2025 and declined about 2.5% in September.
The 10-year Treasury yield reached its highest since 2002.
Rising US yields and a stronger dollar typically weigh on dollar-priced feed commodities and raise the cost of imports for non-US buyers. Higher oil prices also lift input and freight costs.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports the same 1 Oct dollar rally on the bond selloff and higher oil, confirming the euro's break below $1.123.