
The dollar ended the week higher against the euro after a year of pressure from trade-policy worries. The gain came as the Federal Reserve signaled no rush to cut rates.
Fed policymakers still projected two quarter-point cuts later this year, the same median as three months earlier.
A firmer dollar on steady Fed projections tempers US commodity price support and makes US feed exports pricier for euro-area buyers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.