
The dollar gained against the euro after the ECB eased its pace of rate hikes, a day after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points and dropped language anticipating further increases. The dollar index traded near 101.52 and yen was near 152 per dollar.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts later in the year weigh on the dollar, while a cautious ECB narrows rate differentials, both shaping the relative price of dollar-denominated grain and meal.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.