Dollar higher as U.S. debt ceiling concerns keep traders nervous

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jun 20, 2018Dollar hovers near 11-month high as trade concerns weigh-0.3%
• May 25, 2023US Dollar (DXY): Soars to Two-Month High Amid Resilient Economy, Debt Ceiling Concerns | FXEmpire-0.4%
• Mar 21, 2025Dollar ends week higher versus euro as traders book gains+0.3%
• Jun 17, 2025Dollar trades higher after mixed US data, but Mideast conflict keeps mood tense+0.2%
• Jul 22, 2021Euro slips; U.S. dollar inches higher in volatile trading-0.2%

After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.

• May 18, 2023US dollar rises to seven-week high buoyed by data, debt ceiling optimism+5.6%
• Apr 27, 2022Dollar hits five-year high, growth concerns dent euro-6.4%
• Jun 18, 2021Hawkish Bullard sends US Dollar higher+0.3%
• May 5, 2022Dollar surges to 2-decade high as investors seek refuge | AP News+6.2%
• Nov 26, 2016Dollar Rally Hinges on Fed Moves as Traders Eye Jobs Report Next - Bloomberg-3.4%

After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.

• May 18, 2023US dollar rises to seven-week high buoyed by data, debt ceiling optimism-0.9%
• May 5, 2022Dollar surges to 2-decade high as investors seek refuge | AP News-1.2%
• Nov 26, 2016Dollar Rally Hinges on Fed Moves as Traders Eye Jobs Report Next - Bloomberg-1.8%
• Jun 20, 2022US dollar to remain resilient amid the re-pricing higher in Fed's rate expectations – ING — Octa-4.2%
• Mar 8, 2023The U.S. dollar bounces to 2023 high as Fed’s Powell signals higher rates - MarketWatch-1.7%