
The US dollar index reached a two-month high against the euro and a six-month high against the yen on May 25. Traders cut bets on rate cuts because of a resilient economy, and safe-haven demand grew amid the US debt ceiling impasse.
A firmer dollar makes US commodities more expensive for foreign buyers, which tends to pressure US grain and oilseed export prices. It also raises import costs for feed-importing countries.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.