
The US dollar rose to a fresh two-decade high after the Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 75 basis points, as widely expected. The Fed also signalled further large increases and projected its policy rate peaking at 4.6% in 2023.
Analysts expect higher-for-longer US rates to keep the dollar supported.
A stronger dollar makes US commodities more expensive for foreign buyers and typically weighs on dollar-priced grains, oilseeds and meals. Persistent Fed tightening also raises financing costs across the commodity complex.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The Fed's 75bp hike on Sept 21 and its signal of a 4.6% peak rate lifted US yield expectations and pushed the dollar to a two-decade high, falling within the 5-day window.