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The euro fell to a ten-month low near 1.1510 against the dollar ahead of an Italian presidential press conference. Euro-area M3 and private loan data were mixed, and yields on Italian bonds surged over 100 basis points on prospects of an election by September.
Dollar strength driven by euro-area political stress tends to pressure US commodity export prices and can shift relative feed import costs for European buyers.
economies.comRami HaddadMay 29, 2018After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
