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Trump's election win pushed the dollar and bond yields to multi-month highs. Traders scaled back expectations of rate cuts, with the policy rate expected to stay near 4.75% to 5% over the medium and long run.
Higher-for-longer US rates support the dollar and raise financing costs for feed producers and grain merchants, which weighs on commodity prices.
forbes.comDerek SaulNov 6, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reduced Fed rate-cut expectations and higher yields supported the dollar's jump.
Reduced Fed rate-cut expectations pushed dollar and yields to multi-month highs after the election.
