
China's yuan eased against the dollar on May 18, on track for its worst week in three months after the PBOC set the midpoint at a one-week low. The dollar firmed on higher US Treasury yields, while markets awaited US-China trade talks where China offered a package of purchases aimed at cutting the deficit by up to $200 billion.
A weaker yuan makes Chinese buying of US commodities more expensive in local terms, a modest bearish factor for US feed demand, while a firmer dollar is generally bearish for dollar-priced grains and meal.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.