
The US Dollar Index rose to 99.37, its highest level since May 2017, as slowing global growth and aggressive monetary easing abroad drew investors into the reserve currency. Around $15 trillion of government bonds trade at negative yields globally, while US bonds remain positive.
A dollar at a two-year high raises the cost of US commodity exports for overseas buyers, which pressures US feed grain and meal prices. The trend also reflects weak global demand growth, which weighs on commodity demand.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.