US dollar modestly higher as sticky inflation persists, yen hits 34-year low

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Dec 20, 2023Dollar higher as big UK inflation drop hits pound-0.8%
• Feb 13, 2024US dollar rises to three-month high after inflation data, surges past 150 yen+0.1%
• Apr 21, 2023US dollar flat to modestly higher as upbeat data backs May rate hike+0.3%
• Apr 28, 2023US dollar firms as inflation data backs Fed hike; yen plunges-0.3%
• Oct 29, 2021Gold hits over one-week low as dollar rallies on inflation data+0.8%

After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Oct 14, 2026Dollar hits fresh 18-month high as hot inflation boosts Fed hike expectation-1.8%
• Jul 27, 2024Chinese yuan hits eight-month low with missed inflation data and US dollar rebound | FX Blue-1.0%
• Sep 3, 2019US dollar just hit 2-year high, closes in on another major milestone-6.0%
• May 5, 2022Dollar index hits 20-year high, sterling tumbles on dovish BoE+6.2%
• Apr 28, 2022Dollar index hits highest level since 2002-7.5%

After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Oct 14, 2026Dollar hits fresh 18-month high as hot inflation boosts Fed hike expectation-2.3%
• Jul 27, 2024Chinese yuan hits eight-month low with missed inflation data and US dollar rebound | FX Blue-4.5%
• Jul 10, 2024Chinese yuan hits eight-month low with missed inflation data and US dollar rebound - VT Markets-6.1%
• Sep 3, 2019US dollar just hit 2-year high, closes in on another major milestone-1.4%
• May 5, 2022Dollar index hits 20-year high, sterling tumbles on dovish BoE-1.2%